Galbraith,
John. A short history of financial euphoria,
Whittle books (Viking), Viking Penguin, New York, 1993. Hardcover, 113 pages.
Rating:
7/10
Following
a series of extraordinarily bad fiction books, it was a delight to turn to
Galbraith, whom I had not read since my college days. A short history of financial euphoria can be read in two hours, it
offers amusement as well as utility.
All of
us regularly come across people who believe in earning 20-100% on stock
markets, who genuinely believe the markets can go up for ever, glued to the
business TV channels they are convinced of their financial wizardry, they have
discovered singular mechanisms to outwit the market and make money. Galbraith
in one sentence describes those people: “Financial genius is before the fall.”
This
book presents, in a story form, the “bubble” episodes of the past three hundred
years, starting with Tulipomania, an irrational craze in Western Europe to
invest in Tulip bulbs. This is followed by Britain’s South Sea bubble, and the
18th century obsession with joint stock companies (which continues
till today). The meaning of leverage can be truly understood on reading this
book.
Financial
memory is short and doesn’t last for more than twenty years. Greed is an overpowering
emotion as compared to caution. Galbraith’s book warns us with historical
evidence that the bubbles, the pyramid schemes and the scheming crooks on one
hand and the gullible financial wizards have existed for more than three
centuries. Euphoria is inevitably followed by bust, disgrace, even exile or
suicide.
Verdict: If
you believe you can make huge money in markets, you must read this book to
temper your optimism.
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